What is Scotiabank’s Forecast for Vistra FY2025 Earnings?

Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) – Investment analysts at Scotiabank cut their FY2025 earnings per share (EPS) estimates for shares of Vistra in a report issued on Thursday, February 19th. Scotiabank analyst A. Weisel now expects that the company will post earnings of $6.91 per share for the year, down from their prior estimate of $7.11. Scotiabank currently has a “Outperform” rating and a $293.00 target price on the stock. The consensus estimate for Vistra’s current full-year earnings is $7.00 per share.

VST has been the subject of several other research reports. The Goldman Sachs Group upgraded Vistra from a “neutral” rating to a “buy” rating and set a $205.00 price objective for the company in a report on Friday, February 6th. Weiss Ratings reissued a “hold (c)” rating on shares of Vistra in a report on Monday, December 29th. Evercore raised their price objective on shares of Vistra from $237.00 to $243.00 and gave the company an “outperform” rating in a research report on Friday, November 7th. JPMorgan Chase & Co. lowered their price objective on shares of Vistra from $249.00 to $233.00 and set an “overweight” rating on the stock in a research note on Tuesday, December 16th. Finally, KeyCorp began coverage on shares of Vistra in a research note on Monday, November 24th. They set an “overweight” rating and a $217.00 target price for the company. Three research analysts have rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, twelve have issued a Buy rating and one has assigned a Hold rating to the company. According to MarketBeat.com, Vistra presently has a consensus rating of “Buy” and an average price target of $236.73.

Vistra Stock Performance

VST opened at $171.20 on Friday. The company has a current ratio of 0.99, a quick ratio of 0.88 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.74. The business’s 50 day moving average is $162.78 and its 200-day moving average is $181.94. The stock has a market cap of $58.01 billion, a PE ratio of 61.81, a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 1.04 and a beta of 1.40. Vistra has a twelve month low of $90.51 and a twelve month high of $219.82.

Vistra Increases Dividend

The company also recently announced a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Tuesday, March 31st. Stockholders of record on Friday, March 20th will be given a $0.228 dividend. This represents a $0.91 annualized dividend and a dividend yield of 0.5%. This is an increase from Vistra’s previous quarterly dividend of $0.23. The ex-dividend date of this dividend is Friday, March 20th. Vistra’s payout ratio is 32.85%.

Insider Buying and Selling

In related news, CEO James A. Burke sold 22,251 shares of the firm’s stock in a transaction that occurred on Thursday, December 11th. The shares were sold at an average price of $162.05, for a total value of $3,605,774.55. Following the completion of the transaction, the chief executive officer owned 297,998 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $48,290,575.90. This trade represents a 6.95% decrease in their position. The transaction was disclosed in a document filed with the SEC, which is accessible through this hyperlink. Also, EVP Stephanie Zapata Moore sold 8,219 shares of the business’s stock in a transaction on Monday, November 24th. The shares were sold at an average price of $173.35, for a total transaction of $1,424,763.65. Following the sale, the executive vice president directly owned 79,854 shares in the company, valued at approximately $13,842,690.90. This trade represents a 9.33% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The SEC filing for this sale provides additional information. 1.42% of the stock is owned by insiders.

Institutional Investors Weigh In On Vistra

Several hedge funds have recently bought and sold shares of the business. Norges Bank purchased a new stake in shares of Vistra in the second quarter worth approximately $930,080,000. Capital World Investors acquired a new position in Vistra in the 4th quarter valued at approximately $574,499,000. Rubric Capital Management LP purchased a new stake in Vistra in the 4th quarter worth approximately $322,660,000. Alkeon Capital Management LLC boosted its stake in shares of Vistra by 280.6% during the 2nd quarter. Alkeon Capital Management LLC now owns 1,356,357 shares of the company’s stock valued at $262,876,000 after buying an additional 1,000,000 shares during the period. Finally, Massachusetts Financial Services Co. MA boosted its stake in shares of Vistra by 15.1% during the 3rd quarter. Massachusetts Financial Services Co. MA now owns 7,106,465 shares of the company’s stock valued at $1,392,299,000 after buying an additional 930,912 shares during the period. 90.88% of the stock is owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.

Trending Headlines about Vistra

Here are the key news stories impacting Vistra this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Board-approved dividend: Vistra declared a quarterly common dividend of $0.228/share (payable Mar 31; record Mar 20), a 0.4% increase that signals steady cash returns and supports income-oriented holders. Vistra Declares Dividend on Common Stock and Series A Preferred Stock
• Positive Sentiment: Data-center demand story: Company links new Texas data-center deals to long-term power demand growth (AI/colocation), reinforcing Vistra’s revenue tailwinds from large-scale power contracts. Vistra Ties Texas Data Center Deals To Long Term Power Demand Story
• Positive Sentiment: Analyst thematic support: Recent write-ups (e.g., Seeking Alpha) highlight Vistra as an independent power leader positioned to benefit from rising AI-related electricity demand — a constructive narrative for medium-term growth. Vistra Corp. (VST): Independent Power Leader And The 2026 AI Energy Demand
• Neutral Sentiment: Upcoming earnings: Vistra is set to report quarterly results next week; investors will focus on same-store generation, margin trends, and forward guidance for 2026. Short-term volatility is likely around the print. Vistra (VST) to Release Quarterly Earnings on Thursday
• Neutral Sentiment: Scotiabank revision: Scotiabank trimmed its FY2025 EPS estimate to $6.91 from $7.11 but retained an Outperform rating and a $293 price target — a mixed signal (lowered near-term profit outlook but continued bullish long-term view). Vistra Corp. (VST) – MarketBeat
• Negative Sentiment: Earnings-beat skepticism: Zacks flagged that Vistra may lack the key ingredients for an upcoming earnings beat, which raises downside risk if results or guidance disappoint. Vistra Corp. (VST) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth
• Negative Sentiment: Valuation & leverage concerns: The stock trades at a high P/E (~62) and the company shows heavy leverage (debt-to-equity ~5.7); these raise investor sensitivity to any earnings or cash-flow misses and can amplify downside. No direct article link

Vistra Company Profile

Vistra (NYSE: VST) is an integrated power company that develops, owns and operates electricity generation and retail businesses in the United States. The company’s operations span wholesale power production—through a diversified fleet of thermal and lower‑carbon generation assets—and retail electricity supply to residential, commercial and industrial customers. Vistra serves organized wholesale markets and competitive retail markets, with a notable presence in Texas and other regional U.S. power markets.

Vistra’s core activities include the ownership and operation of generation facilities, the commercial dispatch and optimization of those assets into wholesale markets, and the sale of electricity and related services to end-use customers through its retail brands.