Research Analysts Offer Predictions for Mosaic Q1 Earnings

The Mosaic Company (NYSE:MOS) – Analysts at Zacks Research cut their Q1 2026 EPS estimates for Mosaic in a note issued to investors on Monday, March 9th. Zacks Research analyst Team now anticipates that the basic materials company will earn $0.22 per share for the quarter, down from their prior estimate of $0.75. Zacks Research currently has a “Hold” rating on the stock. The consensus estimate for Mosaic’s current full-year earnings is $2.04 per share. Zacks Research also issued estimates for Mosaic’s Q2 2026 earnings at $0.26 EPS, FY2026 earnings at $1.53 EPS, Q1 2027 earnings at $0.39 EPS, Q2 2027 earnings at $0.62 EPS, Q4 2027 earnings at $0.64 EPS and FY2027 earnings at $2.34 EPS.

Mosaic (NYSE:MOS) last announced its quarterly earnings results on Tuesday, February 24th. The basic materials company reported $0.22 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, missing analysts’ consensus estimates of $0.48 by ($0.26). Mosaic had a net margin of 4.49% and a return on equity of 5.80%. The business had revenue of $2.97 billion for the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $3.02 billion. During the same quarter in the prior year, the firm earned $0.45 EPS. The firm’s revenue for the quarter was up 5.6% on a year-over-year basis.

A number of other brokerages also recently issued reports on MOS. UBS Group reduced their price objective on shares of Mosaic from $38.00 to $33.00 and set a “buy” rating on the stock in a research report on Monday, January 12th. Wolfe Research dropped their target price on shares of Mosaic from $37.00 to $36.00 and set an “outperform” rating for the company in a research report on Thursday, February 26th. HSBC cut their target price on shares of Mosaic from $35.00 to $26.00 and set a “hold” rating on the stock in a research note on Monday, November 24th. The Goldman Sachs Group boosted their price target on shares of Mosaic from $30.00 to $32.00 and gave the company a “buy” rating in a research report on Wednesday, January 21st. Finally, Royal Bank Of Canada lowered their price objective on shares of Mosaic from $29.00 to $28.00 and set a “sector perform” rating for the company in a report on Thursday, February 26th. Six analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, ten have given a Hold rating and two have given a Sell rating to the company’s stock. According to data from MarketBeat, the company currently has an average rating of “Hold” and a consensus price target of $30.94.

Mosaic Price Performance

MOS opened at $29.13 on Wednesday. The stock’s 50 day moving average price is $27.65 and its 200-day moving average price is $28.42. Mosaic has a 52-week low of $22.36 and a 52-week high of $38.23. The stock has a market capitalization of $9.25 billion, a PE ratio of 17.24, a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 1.68 and a beta of 0.95. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35, a quick ratio of 0.47 and a current ratio of 1.32.

Mosaic Announces Dividend

The firm also recently announced a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Tuesday, June 2nd. Stockholders of record on Thursday, May 21st will be issued a dividend of $0.22 per share. This represents a $0.88 dividend on an annualized basis and a dividend yield of 3.0%. The ex-dividend date is Thursday, May 21st. Mosaic’s payout ratio is 52.07%.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

Institutional investors have recently modified their holdings of the business. Vanguard Group Inc. boosted its stake in Mosaic by 1.2% during the fourth quarter. Vanguard Group Inc. now owns 39,123,171 shares of the basic materials company’s stock worth $942,477,000 after acquiring an additional 461,524 shares in the last quarter. Dimensional Fund Advisors LP increased its stake in shares of Mosaic by 6.6% during the fourth quarter. Dimensional Fund Advisors LP now owns 13,407,136 shares of the basic materials company’s stock valued at $322,979,000 after purchasing an additional 830,985 shares in the last quarter. State Street Corp lifted its holdings in shares of Mosaic by 1.9% during the fourth quarter. State Street Corp now owns 13,174,708 shares of the basic materials company’s stock valued at $317,379,000 after purchasing an additional 240,146 shares during the last quarter. Invesco Ltd. lifted its holdings in shares of Mosaic by 28.9% during the fourth quarter. Invesco Ltd. now owns 11,840,398 shares of the basic materials company’s stock valued at $285,235,000 after purchasing an additional 2,653,969 shares during the last quarter. Finally, Geode Capital Management LLC boosted its position in shares of Mosaic by 0.8% in the 4th quarter. Geode Capital Management LLC now owns 8,479,395 shares of the basic materials company’s stock worth $203,916,000 after purchasing an additional 63,822 shares in the last quarter. 77.54% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors.

Key Headlines Impacting Mosaic

Here are the key news stories impacting Mosaic this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Zacks Research raised its FY2027 EPS forecast to $2.34 (from $1.89) and increased several late‑2027 quarterly estimates — a material upgrade to longer‑term profitability expectations that supports a higher valuation.
• Positive Sentiment: Zacks also boosted specific 2027 quarterly estimates (examples: Q2 2027 to $0.62 and Q4 2027 to $0.64), signaling an improved outlook for the back half of the forecast horizon.
• Positive Sentiment: Mosaic Fertilizantes (Mosaic subsidiary) and Rainbow Rare Earths entered a joint‑development agreement to advance the Uberaba rare‑earths project in Minas Gerais, Brazil — a strategic diversification into higher‑value minerals with a PFS now planned and a DFS targeted later in 2026. Uberaba rare earths project
• Neutral Sentiment: Sector and media attention on fertilizers (feature pieces highlighting Mosaic as a leading U.S. fertilizer producer) can increase investor interest but don’t change fundamentals immediately. Fertilizers In The Spotlight
• Neutral Sentiment: Macro/headline pieces (e.g., coverage tying commodity and geopolitical risk to ag/energy markets) may drive short‑term flows into basic‑materials names like Mosaic. Hormuz crisis article
• Neutral Sentiment: Some syndicated commentary referencing unrelated filings appeared in the news stream and may have caused noise — treat such items cautiously. Schaeffers piece
• Negative Sentiment: Zacks materially cut FY2026 and several near‑term quarter forecasts (example: FY2026 cut to $1.53 from $2.46; Q1 2026 trimmed to $0.22 from $0.75; Q2 2026 to $0.26 from $0.44; Q3/Q4 2026 also lowered). Those near‑term downgrades increase the risk of disappointing quarterly prints and weigh on sentiment until recovery is visible.
• Negative Sentiment: Zacks maintains a “Hold” rating — analysts are cautious despite some 2027 upside, implying limited near‑term conviction and potential volatility.

About Mosaic

Mosaic Co is one of the world’s leading producers and marketers of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients. The company’s primary business activities center on the extraction, processing and distribution of phosphate rock, phosphate-based fertilizers and potash products. These core nutrients are essential components in modern agriculture, supporting crop yields and soil health across a range of farming applications.

In its phosphate segment, Mosaic operates mining and production facilities that convert phosphate rock into concentrated phosphates, finished phosphate fertilizers and feed phosphates for animal nutrition.