Northland Securities Forecasts Lower Earnings for Kodiak AI

Kodiak AI, Inc. (NASDAQ:KDK) – Analysts at Northland Securities lowered their Q1 2026 earnings per share estimates for Kodiak AI in a research report issued to clients and investors on Wednesday, March 11th. Northland Securities analyst M. Latimore now expects that the company will post earnings per share of ($0.20) for the quarter, down from their previous estimate of ($0.16). Northland Securities also issued estimates for Kodiak AI’s Q2 2026 earnings at ($0.18) EPS, Q3 2026 earnings at ($0.18) EPS, Q4 2026 earnings at ($0.18) EPS, FY2026 earnings at ($0.74) EPS, Q1 2027 earnings at ($0.16) EPS, Q2 2027 earnings at ($0.17) EPS, Q3 2027 earnings at ($0.16) EPS, Q4 2027 earnings at ($0.07) EPS, FY2027 earnings at ($0.56) EPS and FY2028 earnings at ($0.06) EPS.

Kodiak AI (NASDAQ:KDK) last posted its earnings results on Tuesday, March 10th. The company reported ($0.22) earnings per share for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of ($0.16) by ($0.06). The firm had revenue of $1.05 million during the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $0.52 million.

A number of other equities research analysts have also recently weighed in on KDK. TD Cowen reduced their price objective on Kodiak AI from $14.00 to $13.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a research note on Thursday. Wall Street Zen cut shares of Kodiak AI to a “strong sell” rating in a report on Friday, November 28th. Weiss Ratings reiterated a “sell (d-)” rating on shares of Kodiak AI in a research note on Monday, December 29th. Finally, Chardan Capital reissued a “buy” rating and set a $22.00 price objective on shares of Kodiak AI in a research report on Wednesday. One investment analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, four have issued a Buy rating, one has assigned a Hold rating and one has issued a Sell rating to the company. Based on data from MarketBeat, the company currently has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” and a consensus target price of $15.70.

Kodiak AI Stock Down 3.6%

NASDAQ:KDK opened at $8.46 on Friday. The stock has a market cap of $1.53 billion, a P/E ratio of -24.88 and a beta of -0.34. Kodiak AI has a 52-week low of $5.43 and a 52-week high of $11.62. The stock’s 50 day moving average price is $9.01.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

A number of institutional investors have recently modified their holdings of the stock. ARK Investment Management LLC lifted its holdings in shares of Kodiak AI by 190.3% during the fourth quarter. ARK Investment Management LLC now owns 2,669,456 shares of the company’s stock worth $29,150,000 after purchasing an additional 1,749,863 shares during the period. Rokos Capital Management US LP acquired a new position in Kodiak AI in the 3rd quarter valued at $14,185,000. Geode Capital Management LLC increased its stake in Kodiak AI by 725.0% in the 4th quarter. Geode Capital Management LLC now owns 1,213,179 shares of the company’s stock valued at $13,254,000 after buying an additional 1,066,128 shares during the period. Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group Inc. raised its position in Kodiak AI by 27.7% during the 4th quarter. Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group Inc. now owns 789,471 shares of the company’s stock worth $8,621,000 after buying an additional 171,341 shares during the last quarter. Finally, Amova Asset Management Americas Inc. raised its position in Kodiak AI by 27.7% during the 4th quarter. Amova Asset Management Americas Inc. now owns 789,471 shares of the company’s stock worth $8,637,000 after buying an additional 171,341 shares during the last quarter. Institutional investors and hedge funds own 72.95% of the company’s stock.

Key Headlines Impacting Kodiak AI

Here are the key news stories impacting Kodiak AI this week:

• Positive Sentiment: TD Cowen reaffirmed a “buy” rating while trimming its price target from $14 to $13, still implying meaningful upside versus current levels — this keeps institutional support and a constructive view on long‑term upside. TD Cowen price target cut story TickerReport coverage
• Neutral Sentiment: Kodiak released its fourth‑quarter and full‑year 2025 results (mixed): revenue showed progress but the company has reported EPS misses that are keeping near‑term sentiment cautious. Review the release for details on revenue drivers and guidance. Q4 & FY2025 results
• Neutral Sentiment: Market commentary is debating valuation vs. discounted‑cash‑flow upside after recent share volatility; that keeps both buyers and short‑term traders engaged but uncertain. Valuation/DCF article
• Negative Sentiment: Northland Securities cut earnings estimates across multiple quarters and fiscal years (Q1–Q4 2026 revisions, FY2026 EPS lowered to ($0.74) from ($0.61); FY2027 and FY2028 also trimmed). The broad downgrade cycle increases near‑term downside risk and likely pressured the stock today. Northland estimate cuts (MarketBeat summary)

About Kodiak AI

We are a blank check company incorporated as a Cayman Islands exempted company for the purpose of effecting a merger, share exchange, asset acquisition, share purchase, reorganization or similar business combination with one or more businesses, which we refer to as our initial business combination. Our only activities since inception have been organizational activities and those necessary to prepare for this offering. We have not selected any business combination target and we have not, nor has anyone on our behalf, initiated any substantive discussions, directly or indirectly, with any business combination target.