Analysts Set Expectations for Fossil Group Q1 Earnings

Fossil Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:FOSL) – Research analysts at Northland Securities boosted their Q1 2026 earnings per share (EPS) estimates for Fossil Group in a report issued on Thursday, March 12th. Northland Securities analyst O. Rickert now anticipates that the accessories brand company will post earnings per share of ($0.01) for the quarter, up from their previous estimate of ($0.08). Northland Securities has a “Outperform” rating and a $7.00 price objective on the stock. Northland Securities also issued estimates for Fossil Group’s Q3 2026 earnings at $0.10 EPS, Q4 2026 earnings at $0.15 EPS and FY2026 earnings at $0.29 EPS.

Fossil Group (NASDAQ:FOSL) last released its earnings results on Wednesday, March 11th. The accessories brand company reported ($0.15) earnings per share for the quarter, missing analysts’ consensus estimates of $0.02 by ($0.17). The business had revenue of $280.52 million during the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $249.28 million. Fossil Group had a negative return on equity of 46.78% and a negative net margin of 7.81%.

A number of other equities research analysts have also recently weighed in on the stock. Maxim Group upped their price objective on shares of Fossil Group from $5.00 to $7.00 and gave the stock a “buy” rating in a report on Thursday. Weiss Ratings reissued a “sell (d-)” rating on shares of Fossil Group in a research report on Thursday, January 22nd. Finally, Zacks Research upgraded Fossil Group to a “hold” rating in a research note on Friday, February 20th. Two investment analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, one has given a Hold rating and one has given a Sell rating to the stock. According to data from MarketBeat.com, the stock has an average rating of “Hold” and an average price target of $7.00.

Fossil Group Trading Down 0.6%

Shares of NASDAQ FOSL opened at $4.77 on Monday. Fossil Group has a 1 year low of $0.86 and a 1 year high of $5.00. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.00, a current ratio of 1.55 and a quick ratio of 1.05. The firm has a 50-day moving average of $4.00 and a 200 day moving average of $3.29. The stock has a market cap of $278.33 million, a P/E ratio of -3.27 and a beta of 1.68.

Hedge Funds Weigh In On Fossil Group

Several hedge funds and other institutional investors have recently bought and sold shares of FOSL. Carrera Capital Advisors purchased a new stake in shares of Fossil Group during the 4th quarter valued at about $38,000. Wexford Capital LP purchased a new position in shares of Fossil Group during the third quarter valued at approximately $28,000. EHP Funds Inc. purchased a new position in shares of Fossil Group during the third quarter valued at approximately $28,000. Qube Research & Technologies Ltd bought a new position in Fossil Group during the third quarter valued at approximately $39,000. Finally, Schonfeld Strategic Advisors LLC bought a new position in Fossil Group during the fourth quarter valued at approximately $63,000. Institutional investors own 61.14% of the company’s stock.

Fossil Group News Roundup

Here are the key news stories impacting Fossil Group this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Analysts raised medium‑term earnings and target price — Northland increased several FY2027 and quarterly EPS forecasts and kept an “Outperform” view with a $7 target, signaling confidence in the turnaround. Read More.
• Positive Sentiment: Another shop raised its target — Maxim Group bumped its price target to $7 and carries a “buy” rating, which supports upside expectations. Read More.
• Positive Sentiment: Company raised revenue guidance / set higher 2026 sales target — management outlined roughly $945M–$965M in 2026 sales targets, implying top‑line recovery that can underpin margin improvement if execution continues. Read More.
• Neutral Sentiment: Unrelated “fossil” headline circulating — a paleontology story about a dinosaur fossil is trending but has no relevance to Fossil Group’s business or stock fundamentals. Read More.
• Negative Sentiment: Q4 results: revenue beat but EPS missed and margins are under pressure — Q4 revenue topped estimates ($280.5M) but the company reported a loss per share and negative net margin, raising near‑term profitability concerns. Read More.
• Negative Sentiment: Cash flow and balance‑sheet notes — operating cash flow weakened and cash declined year‑over‑year in Q4, which increases sensitivity to working capital and inventory execution. Read More.
• Negative Sentiment: Some near‑term estimate cuts — Northland trimmed Q2 estimates (and other short‑run quarters show mixed changes), indicating uneven recovery timing and potential volatility in upcoming quarters. Read More.

About Fossil Group

Fossil Group, Inc designs, develops, markets and distributes consumer fashion accessories, focusing on lifestyle and wearable technology. The company offers a wide range of products including analog and digital watches, smartwatches, jewelry, handbags, small leather goods and wearable devices. It sells merchandise under its own Fossil brand and via license agreements with international labels such as Michael Kors, Armani Exchange, Burberry, Diesel, DKNY, Kate Spade and Tory Burch. Through its proprietary e-commerce platforms and global retail network, Fossil Group serves markets across North America, Europe, Asia and the Middle East.

The group’s wearable technology segment combines traditional timepieces with features such as fitness tracking, heart-rate monitoring and NFC payments.