Mizuho Issues Pessimistic Forecast for Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG) Stock Price

Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG) had its price objective dropped by Mizuho from $38.00 to $37.00 in a research note issued on Wednesday,Benzinga reports. The brokerage currently has a “neutral” rating on the restaurant operator’s stock. Mizuho’s price objective would suggest a potential downside of 3.71% from the company’s previous close.

A number of other equities analysts have also recently commented on the stock. Robert W. Baird dropped their price objective on shares of Chipotle Mexican Grill from $59.00 to $49.00 and set an “outperform” rating for the company in a research note on Friday, October 10th. Piper Sandler cut their price objective on shares of Chipotle Mexican Grill from $47.00 to $44.00 and set an “overweight” rating on the stock in a research report on Wednesday. Wells Fargo & Company lowered their target price on shares of Chipotle Mexican Grill from $50.00 to $45.00 and set an “overweight” rating for the company in a report on Wednesday. Stephens reiterated an “equal weight” rating and set a $35.00 price target on shares of Chipotle Mexican Grill in a report on Wednesday. Finally, Jefferies Financial Group reduced their price objective on shares of Chipotle Mexican Grill from $48.00 to $44.00 and set a “hold” rating on the stock in a research report on Monday, October 13th. One analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, twenty-two have issued a Buy rating and thirteen have given a Hold rating to the company. According to data from MarketBeat, the company currently has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” and an average price target of $47.50.

Chipotle Mexican Grill Trading Down 3.8%

Shares of Chipotle Mexican Grill stock opened at $38.43 on Wednesday. The firm has a market cap of $50.81 billion, a PE ratio of 33.71, a PEG ratio of 2.77 and a beta of 0.99. The stock has a 50 day moving average of $37.70 and a 200 day moving average of $38.98. Chipotle Mexican Grill has a 12 month low of $29.75 and a 12 month high of $59.09.

Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG) last posted its earnings results on Tuesday, February 3rd. The restaurant operator reported $0.25 EPS for the quarter, beating analysts’ consensus estimates of $0.24 by $0.01. Chipotle Mexican Grill had a return on equity of 47.99% and a net margin of 12.88%.The firm had revenue of $2.98 billion during the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $2.96 billion. During the same period in the prior year, the company earned $0.25 EPS. The company’s quarterly revenue was up 4.9% compared to the same quarter last year. As a group, equities research analysts forecast that Chipotle Mexican Grill will post 1.29 earnings per share for the current fiscal year.

Institutional Trading of Chipotle Mexican Grill

Institutional investors and hedge funds have recently made changes to their positions in the company. Mission Wealth Management LP lifted its stake in Chipotle Mexican Grill by 14.6% in the fourth quarter. Mission Wealth Management LP now owns 8,368 shares of the restaurant operator’s stock worth $310,000 after acquiring an additional 1,063 shares during the period. North Dakota State Investment Board bought a new stake in shares of Chipotle Mexican Grill in the 4th quarter valued at about $1,702,000. Elyxium Wealth LLC purchased a new stake in shares of Chipotle Mexican Grill in the 4th quarter worth approximately $52,000. Soltis Investment Advisors LLC bought a new position in shares of Chipotle Mexican Grill during the fourth quarter valued at approximately $224,000. Finally, iA Global Asset Management Inc. purchased a new position in Chipotle Mexican Grill during the fourth quarter valued at approximately $11,062,000. 91.30% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors.

More Chipotle Mexican Grill News

Here are the key news stories impacting Chipotle Mexican Grill this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Q4 beat on the top and bottom lines: Chipotle reported $0.25 EPS vs. $0.24 consensus and $2.98B revenue (vs. ~$2.96B est.), showing marginal outperformance and preserved profitability despite traffic weakness. Chipotle Q4 Earnings & Revenues Surpass Estimates
• Positive Sentiment: Some analysts remain constructive — Citigroup raised its price target to $49 (buy) and several firms kept buy/overweight ratings — signaling upside if execution improves. Analyst Price Target Moves (Benzinga)
• Positive Sentiment: Long‑term bull case: commentary from MarketBeat/Forbes/others highlights management’s 2026 playbook — heavier investment in tech, menu/back‑of‑house, accelerated new stores and international expansion — which could drive outsized upside over multiple years if traffic recovers. Is Chipotle’s 2026 Playbook the Secret Sauce for a Reversal?
• Neutral Sentiment: Valuation pieces and comparisons (e.g., BJ’s Restaurants vs. Chipotle) debate whether CMG is a value pick now — the stock trades at a lower multiple than recent highs, making it a case‑by‑case value proposition for investors. BJRI or CMG: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?
• Neutral Sentiment: Influential voices (e.g., Jim Cramer) are publicly defending the name, which can temper downside if sentiment swings positive, but these views aren’t a substitute for concrete sales/traffic improvement. Jim Cramer on Chipotle
• Negative Sentiment: Weak 2026 guidance: management forecast flat comparable sales and noted continued declines in restaurant traffic (comp sales down ~2.5% in Q4), which is the primary driver of today’s weakness — cautious guidance increases execution risk and compresses near‑term multiple. Chipotle forecasts weak annual sales, margin pressure
• Negative Sentiment: Broad analyst pullback on near‑term outlook: multiple firms lowered price targets (Wells Fargo, Piper Sandler, KeyCorp, Barclays, Mizuho, Stifel, Telsey, etc.), reflecting trimmed growth/margin assumptions and pressuring investor sentiment. Chipotle Analysts Slash Their Forecasts
• Negative Sentiment: Macro/consumer risk: coverage highlights weaker dining traffic and cost pressures that could keep margins under pressure until customer frequency stabilizes, making near‑term earnings upside uncertain. CMG Earnings: Stock Falls on Weak Guidance

Chipotle Mexican Grill Company Profile

Chipotle Mexican Grill is a fast-casual restaurant company known for its Mexican-inspired menu of burritos, bowls, tacos and salads. Founded in 1993 by Steve Ells, the chain emphasizes fresh, customizable meals made from a limited menu of core ingredients and a focus on ingredient quality. Chipotle operates primarily company-owned restaurants and offers dine-in, takeout, catering and delivery through its own digital platforms and third-party partners.

The company is headquartered in Newport Beach, California, and traces its roots to Denver, Colorado.