Green Plains (NASDAQ:GPRE) Trading Up 11.3% on Earnings Beat

Shares of Green Plains, Inc. (NASDAQ:GPRE) shot up 11.3% on Friday after the company announced better than expected quarterly earnings. The stock traded as high as $13.29 and last traded at $14.0870. 32,192 shares were traded during mid-day trading, a decline of 98% from the average session volume of 1,319,872 shares. The stock had previously closed at $12.66.

The specialty chemicals company reported $0.17 EPS for the quarter, topping analysts’ consensus estimates of $0.07 by $0.10. Green Plains had a negative net margin of 5.80% and a negative return on equity of 8.70%. The firm had revenue of $428.85 million during the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $536.56 million. During the same period in the previous year, the business posted ($0.86) earnings per share. The company’s revenue for the quarter was down 26.6% compared to the same quarter last year.

Key Headlines Impacting Green Plains

Here are the key news stories impacting Green Plains this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Earnings beat and positive EPS: Green Plains reported Q4 EPS of $0.17, well above consensus (~$0.07), signaling an operational swing from last year’s loss. Zacks: GPRE Q4 Earnings Surpass Estimates
• Positive Sentiment: Profitability turnaround and stronger cash‑flow proxy: Net income attributable to the company was $11.9M and adjusted EBITDA was $49.1M in Q4 (vs negative EBITDA a year ago), showing improved operating results that support the rally. BusinessWire: Q4 & Full-Year 2025 Results
• Neutral Sentiment: Management commentary and slide deck available — investors can review the earnings call transcript and presentation for details on margin drivers, plant operations and liquidity. These materials explain the beat but don’t change the forward picture by themselves. Seeking Alpha: Q4 Results Presentation
• Negative Sentiment: Revenue shortfall and year-over-year decline: Revenue was $428.9M, missing consensus (~$536.6M) and down ~26.6% vs. last year — a meaningful demand/price/volume weakness that tempers enthusiasm from the EPS beat. MarketBeat: Q4 Results Summary & Call
• Negative Sentiment: Ongoing margin/earnings risk and cautious analyst view: The company still shows a negative net margin and return on equity, and some analysts model negative full‑year EPS (~-0.50), indicating investors should watch commodity spreads, ethanol demand, and guidance for sustainability of the recovery. Globe and Mail: Analysts Offer Insights on GPRE

Wall Street Analysts Forecast Growth

Several research analysts have weighed in on the stock. Wall Street Zen raised shares of Green Plains from a “sell” rating to a “hold” rating in a report on Saturday, November 8th. BMO Capital Markets increased their target price on Green Plains from $12.00 to $14.00 and gave the stock a “market perform” rating in a research note on Friday. Roth Mkm cut Green Plains from a “buy” rating to a “neutral” rating and set a $10.00 price target for the company. in a report on Thursday, November 6th. Bank of America boosted their price target on Green Plains from $7.00 to $9.00 and gave the company an “underperform” rating in a research note on Tuesday, October 14th. Finally, Weiss Ratings reiterated a “sell (d-)” rating on shares of Green Plains in a research report on Thursday, January 22nd. Three analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, five have assigned a Hold rating and two have given a Sell rating to the company. According to MarketBeat.com, the stock has an average rating of “Hold” and an average price target of $11.63.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

A number of hedge funds have recently modified their holdings of GPRE. Wealth Enhancement Advisory Services LLC lifted its position in Green Plains by 6.7% during the fourth quarter. Wealth Enhancement Advisory Services LLC now owns 17,936 shares of the specialty chemicals company’s stock worth $175,000 after purchasing an additional 1,128 shares during the period. Rhumbline Advisers raised its position in shares of Green Plains by 1.3% in the 2nd quarter. Rhumbline Advisers now owns 100,159 shares of the specialty chemicals company’s stock valued at $604,000 after buying an additional 1,246 shares in the last quarter. ProShare Advisors LLC lifted its holdings in shares of Green Plains by 11.7% during the 4th quarter. ProShare Advisors LLC now owns 12,275 shares of the specialty chemicals company’s stock worth $120,000 after acquiring an additional 1,290 shares during the period. WealthPlan Investment Management LLC lifted its holdings in shares of Green Plains by 15.0% during the 2nd quarter. WealthPlan Investment Management LLC now owns 11,666 shares of the specialty chemicals company’s stock worth $70,000 after acquiring an additional 1,519 shares during the period. Finally, PNC Financial Services Group Inc. boosted its position in shares of Green Plains by 19.0% during the 2nd quarter. PNC Financial Services Group Inc. now owns 10,122 shares of the specialty chemicals company’s stock worth $61,000 after acquiring an additional 1,619 shares in the last quarter.

Green Plains Price Performance

The firm has a market capitalization of $967.15 million, a P/E ratio of -7.33, a PEG ratio of 1.57 and a beta of 1.54. The company has a quick ratio of 1.20, a current ratio of 1.79 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.47. The business’s 50 day moving average is $10.66 and its 200-day moving average is $9.99.

About Green Plains

Green Plains Inc is a leading producer of fuel-grade ethanol and related co-products in the United States. Headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska, the company operates an integrated network of biorefineries that convert corn and other grains into renewable fuels. Through its production facilities, Green Plains supplies ethanol to domestic fuel markets and export channels, supporting efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and promote cleaner-burning transportation options.

Beyond ethanol, Green Plains manufactures a range of co-products that add value throughout the agricultural supply chain.