Equities Analysts Issue Forecasts for Vale FY2025 Earnings

Vale S.A. (NYSE:VALE) – Equities researchers at Scotiabank reduced their FY2025 EPS estimates for Vale in a research report issued on Wednesday, February 11th. Scotiabank analyst A. Salazar now forecasts that the basic materials company will earn $2.39 per share for the year, down from their previous forecast of $2.40. Scotiabank has a “Sector Perform” rating and a $16.50 price target on the stock. The consensus estimate for Vale’s current full-year earnings is $1.85 per share. Scotiabank also issued estimates for Vale’s FY2026 earnings at $2.57 EPS.

Other equities research analysts have also recently issued research reports about the stock. Zacks Research lowered Vale from a “strong-buy” rating to a “hold” rating in a research note on Thursday, February 5th. Weiss Ratings reissued a “hold (c-)” rating on shares of Vale in a research note on Monday, December 29th. Royal Bank Of Canada upgraded shares of Vale from a “sector perform” rating to an “outperform” rating and raised their price target for the stock from $11.00 to $14.20 in a research note on Wednesday, December 10th. JPMorgan Chase & Co. upped their price objective on Vale from $13.50 to $14.00 and gave the company an “overweight” rating in a research note on Monday, October 20th. Finally, Jefferies Financial Group set a $15.00 target price on Vale and gave the stock a “buy” rating in a report on Monday, November 3rd. One research analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, eight have given a Buy rating and five have issued a Hold rating to the company. According to MarketBeat.com, the company has an average rating of “Moderate Buy” and an average price target of $13.85.

Vale Price Performance

VALE opened at $16.64 on Friday. The company has a quick ratio of 0.82, a current ratio of 1.24 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.49. Vale has a fifty-two week low of $8.06 and a fifty-two week high of $17.72. The business has a 50-day moving average of $14.56 and a 200-day moving average of $12.30.

Vale (NYSE:VALE) last released its quarterly earnings data on Wednesday, February 18th. The basic materials company reported ($0.98) earnings per share for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of $0.52 by ($1.50). Vale had a net margin of 14.69% and a return on equity of 18.60%.

Institutional Trading of Vale

Several hedge funds have recently bought and sold shares of VALE. Capital World Investors increased its stake in shares of Vale by 58.2% during the fourth quarter. Capital World Investors now owns 89,322,261 shares of the basic materials company’s stock worth $1,163,896,000 after purchasing an additional 32,864,929 shares during the period. Invesco Ltd. grew its position in shares of Vale by 1,534.8% during the 2nd quarter. Invesco Ltd. now owns 24,810,285 shares of the basic materials company’s stock worth $240,908,000 after purchasing an additional 23,292,629 shares in the last quarter. GQG Partners LLC raised its position in shares of Vale by 42.4% in the fourth quarter. GQG Partners LLC now owns 65,132,572 shares of the basic materials company’s stock valued at $848,677,000 after buying an additional 19,397,396 shares in the last quarter. Mondrian Investment Partners LTD bought a new stake in shares of Vale in the third quarter valued at approximately $123,532,000. Finally, Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V. grew its position in Vale by 77.8% during the fourth quarter. Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V. now owns 20,809,302 shares of the basic materials company’s stock worth $271,145,000 after buying an additional 9,103,727 shares in the last quarter. 21.85% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.

Vale Dividend Announcement

The business also recently declared a special dividend, which was paid on Wednesday, January 14th. Stockholders of record on Friday, December 12th were given a $0.2331 dividend. The ex-dividend date was Friday, December 12th. Vale’s dividend payout ratio (DPR) is currently 67.69%.

Vale News Roundup

Here are the key news stories impacting Vale this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Management emphasized resilient cash generation in its 2025 results, which helps support liquidity and dividend/provision flexibility despite earnings pressure. Read More.
• Positive Sentiment: Vale published a February 2026 governance report detailing intensified 2025 audit and risk‑oversight activities — a move that can reassure investors about governance and controls after recent legacy issues. Read More.
• Neutral Sentiment: The company’s fiscal council has reviewed and backed the 2025 financial statements and proposed profit allocation ahead of the AGM — a routine governance step but important for near‑term shareholder decisions. Read More.
• Neutral Sentiment: Market coverage is mixed: Zacks has published pieces highlighting VALE’s long‑term momentum and investor attention, while summary pieces note the recent dip versus the broader market — useful context but not new company-specific catalysts. Read More. • Read More.
• Negative Sentiment: Big quarterly miss: Vale reported EPS of ($0.98) vs. consensus $0.52, a materially negative surprise that likely drove immediate selling pressure. Read More.
• Negative Sentiment: Full‑year 2025 profit fell sharply due to asset impairments and legacy dam‑related costs — a structural headwind to near‑term profitability and valuation. Read More.
• Negative Sentiment: Scotiabank trimmed FY2025/FY2026 EPS estimates slightly and retains a “Sector Perform” rating with a $16.50 target, signaling limited near‑term upside from this important sell‑side voice. Read More.

About Vale

Vale SA is a Brazilian multinational mining company and one of the world’s largest producers of iron ore and iron ore pellets. In addition to iron ore, the company produces and sells a range of bulk commodities and metals, including nickel, copper, coal, manganese, ferroalloys and cobalt, and it participates in the fertilizer inputs market. Vale also operates extensive logistics assets — including rail, port and maritime logistics — that support its mining and export activities and provide services to third parties in some regions.

Headquartered in Brazil, Vale maintains a global operational footprint with mining, processing and shipping activities across the Americas, Africa, Asia and Oceania.