Brokers Set Expectations for Fossil Group FY2025 Earnings

Fossil Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:FOSL) – Equities researchers at Northland Securities issued their FY2025 earnings estimates for shares of Fossil Group in a note issued to investors on Thursday, February 19th. Northland Securities analyst O. Rickert anticipates that the accessories brand company will post earnings per share of ($0.81) for the year. Northland Securities has a “Outperform” rating and a $7.00 price objective on the stock. Northland Securities also issued estimates for Fossil Group’s Q4 2025 earnings at $0.02 EPS, Q1 2026 earnings at ($0.08) EPS, Q2 2026 earnings at $0.11 EPS, Q3 2026 earnings at $0.03 EPS, Q4 2026 earnings at $0.07 EPS, FY2026 earnings at $0.13 EPS, Q1 2027 earnings at $0.08 EPS, Q2 2027 earnings at $0.18 EPS, Q3 2027 earnings at $0.10 EPS, Q4 2027 earnings at $0.15 EPS and FY2027 earnings at $0.51 EPS.

Other research analysts also recently issued reports about the company. Wall Street Zen downgraded Fossil Group from a “buy” rating to a “hold” rating in a research note on Sunday, October 26th. Weiss Ratings reiterated a “sell (d-)” rating on shares of Fossil Group in a research report on Thursday, January 22nd. Two analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating and one has assigned a Sell rating to the company’s stock. According to MarketBeat, the stock has an average rating of “Hold” and a consensus price target of $6.00.

Fossil Group Stock Performance

NASDAQ FOSL opened at $4.67 on Monday. The firm has a market cap of $255.17 million, a P/E ratio of -3.68 and a beta of 1.75. Fossil Group has a 52-week low of $0.86 and a 52-week high of $4.81. The business’s 50-day moving average price is $3.76 and its 200 day moving average price is $3.08. The company has a quick ratio of 1.00, a current ratio of 1.56 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.76.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

A number of hedge funds have recently modified their holdings of the business. Carrera Capital Advisors acquired a new stake in shares of Fossil Group during the fourth quarter worth $38,000. Bridgeway Capital Management LLC lifted its position in Fossil Group by 2.5% during the second quarter. Bridgeway Capital Management LLC now owns 425,182 shares of the accessories brand company’s stock worth $629,000 after buying an additional 10,249 shares during the period. Empowered Funds LLC boosted its stake in Fossil Group by 10.4% in the 4th quarter. Empowered Funds LLC now owns 114,403 shares of the accessories brand company’s stock worth $430,000 after buying an additional 10,824 shares during the last quarter. Wexford Capital LP purchased a new stake in Fossil Group in the 3rd quarter valued at about $28,000. Finally, EHP Funds Inc. acquired a new position in shares of Fossil Group during the 3rd quarter valued at about $28,000. 61.14% of the stock is owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.

Insider Buying and Selling

In related news, Director Suzanne M. Coulter purchased 28,170 shares of Fossil Group stock in a transaction dated Wednesday, December 3rd. The stock was bought at an average cost of $3.62 per share, for a total transaction of $101,975.40. Following the transaction, the director owned 98,457 shares in the company, valued at approximately $356,414.34. The trade was a 40.08% increase in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a legal filing with the SEC, which is available through this link. Company insiders own 2.90% of the company’s stock.

Key Fossil Group News

Here are the key news stories impacting Fossil Group this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Northland Securities initiated coverage with an “Outperform” rating and a $7.00 price target, providing a clear bullish analyst catalyst that can support re-rating and buying interest. Fossil Group (NASDAQ:FOSL) Research Coverage Started at Northland Securities
• Positive Sentiment: Northland published detailed EPS forecasts showing a path from losses in FY2025 (est. -$0.81) to modest positive EPS in FY2026 ($0.13) and stronger profitability in FY2027 ($0.51), with several quarters projected to be profitable — this provides a tangible earnings roadmap investors can model against upcoming results. FOSL Free Report / MarketBeat
• Positive Sentiment: Trading volume is well above average, indicating renewed investor attention and stronger liquidity around the coverage/initiation news — a common short-term price catalyst as funds and retail traders react. NASDAQ FOSL Market Data
• Neutral Sentiment: Coverage initiation increases visibility and may attract momentum flows, but it is not the same as company performance — investors should monitor whether management execution and upcoming quarterly results align with Northland’s assumptions. Fossil Group (NASDAQ:FOSL) Research Coverage Started at Northland Securities
• Negative Sentiment: Fossil still faces material risks: a FY2025 estimated loss, a negative trailing P/E, and relatively high leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.76). If sales recovery or margin improvements miss Northland’s forecasts, the stock could reverse gains. NASDAQ FOSL Financials

About Fossil Group

Fossil Group, Inc designs, develops, markets and distributes consumer fashion accessories, focusing on lifestyle and wearable technology. The company offers a wide range of products including analog and digital watches, smartwatches, jewelry, handbags, small leather goods and wearable devices. It sells merchandise under its own Fossil brand and via license agreements with international labels such as Michael Kors, Armani Exchange, Burberry, Diesel, DKNY, Kate Spade and Tory Burch. Through its proprietary e-commerce platforms and global retail network, Fossil Group serves markets across North America, Europe, Asia and the Middle East.

The group’s wearable technology segment combines traditional timepieces with features such as fitness tracking, heart-rate monitoring and NFC payments.