Equities Analysts Offer Predictions for ACGL FY2026 Earnings

Arch Capital Group Ltd. (NASDAQ:ACGL) – Stock analysts at Zacks Research cut their FY2026 earnings estimates for Arch Capital Group in a research note issued to investors on Monday, March 2nd. Zacks Research analyst Team now anticipates that the insurance provider will post earnings of $9.34 per share for the year, down from their prior estimate of $9.36. The consensus estimate for Arch Capital Group’s current full-year earnings is $8.42 per share. Zacks Research also issued estimates for Arch Capital Group’s Q4 2026 earnings at $2.54 EPS, Q1 2027 earnings at $2.55 EPS and FY2027 earnings at $10.08 EPS.

Arch Capital Group (NASDAQ:ACGL) last issued its earnings results on Monday, February 9th. The insurance provider reported $2.98 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, beating analysts’ consensus estimates of $2.34 by $0.64. Arch Capital Group had a net margin of 22.07% and a return on equity of 16.73%. The company had revenue of $4.93 billion during the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $3.94 billion. During the same period last year, the company posted $2.26 earnings per share.

A number of other analysts also recently commented on the company. Citigroup reiterated a “buy” rating and set a $120.00 target price (up from $113.00) on shares of Arch Capital Group in a research report on Friday, February 13th. Weiss Ratings upgraded shares of Arch Capital Group from a “hold (c+)” rating to a “buy (b-)” rating in a research report on Wednesday, February 4th. Cantor Fitzgerald restated a “neutral” rating and set a $100.00 target price (up from $97.00) on shares of Arch Capital Group in a report on Tuesday, February 17th. Barclays set a $104.00 target price on shares of Arch Capital Group and gave the stock an “equal weight” rating in a research report on Thursday, January 8th. Finally, Morgan Stanley set a $125.00 price target on shares of Arch Capital Group in a research report on Friday, January 16th. Nine investment analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, eight have assigned a Hold rating and one has given a Sell rating to the company’s stock. According to data from MarketBeat, Arch Capital Group currently has a consensus rating of “Hold” and a consensus target price of $109.20.

Arch Capital Group Stock Performance

ACGL opened at $100.48 on Tuesday. Arch Capital Group has a 1-year low of $82.44 and a 1-year high of $103.39. The stock has a market cap of $35.75 billion, a P/E ratio of 8.65, a P/E/G ratio of 4.06 and a beta of 0.40. The stock’s 50 day simple moving average is $96.23 and its 200 day simple moving average is $92.82. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.13, a current ratio of 0.53 and a quick ratio of 0.53.

Insider Transactions at Arch Capital Group

In related news, insider John M. Pasquesi sold 8,800 shares of the firm’s stock in a transaction that occurred on Monday, December 15th. The shares were sold at an average price of $94.17, for a total transaction of $828,696.00. Following the sale, the insider owned 289,556 shares in the company, valued at approximately $27,267,488.52. This trade represents a 2.95% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The sale was disclosed in a legal filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which can be accessed through this hyperlink. Also, insider Maamoun Rajeh sold 47,430 shares of the business’s stock in a transaction on Wednesday, February 11th. The shares were sold at an average price of $96.12, for a total value of $4,558,971.60. Following the completion of the transaction, the insider owned 433,589 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $41,676,574.68. This trade represents a 9.86% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The disclosure for this sale is available in the SEC filing. Over the last quarter, insiders have sold 260,096 shares of company stock valued at $24,530,685. Insiders own 4.10% of the company’s stock.

Hedge Funds Weigh In On Arch Capital Group

Institutional investors have recently added to or reduced their stakes in the business. Daymark Wealth Partners LLC boosted its stake in Arch Capital Group by 3.4% in the 4th quarter. Daymark Wealth Partners LLC now owns 3,211 shares of the insurance provider’s stock worth $308,000 after buying an additional 106 shares during the last quarter. TD Waterhouse Canada Inc. lifted its holdings in shares of Arch Capital Group by 31.4% during the 2nd quarter. TD Waterhouse Canada Inc. now owns 469 shares of the insurance provider’s stock worth $43,000 after acquiring an additional 112 shares during the period. Crescent Grove Advisors LLC boosted its position in shares of Arch Capital Group by 3.1% in the second quarter. Crescent Grove Advisors LLC now owns 3,702 shares of the insurance provider’s stock worth $337,000 after acquiring an additional 112 shares during the last quarter. Keel Point LLC boosted its position in shares of Arch Capital Group by 4.6% in the third quarter. Keel Point LLC now owns 2,524 shares of the insurance provider’s stock worth $229,000 after acquiring an additional 112 shares during the last quarter. Finally, Legacy Advisors LLC grew its holdings in Arch Capital Group by 1.2% in the fourth quarter. Legacy Advisors LLC now owns 9,551 shares of the insurance provider’s stock valued at $916,000 after purchasing an additional 112 shares during the period. 89.07% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.

Key Headlines Impacting Arch Capital Group

Here are the key news stories impacting Arch Capital Group this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Arch reported record operating income and strong return on equity for 2025, driven by a robust Q4. Those fundamentals support valuation and dividend/capital return potential, and are a clear positive catalyst for longer‑term investor confidence. Arch Capital Group (ACGL) Delivers Record 2025 Operating Income and Robust ROE InsiderMonkey: Arch Capital Group Delivers Record 2025 Operating Income
• Neutral Sentiment: Short‑interest notices in early March show reported large changes but the published figures appear inconsistent (zeros/NaN in the data feed). That creates uncertainty about actual shorting pressure; unclear short interest is unlikely to be a decisive driver until the data is corrected/clarified.
• Negative Sentiment: Zacks Research trimmed its EPS forecasts slightly for FY2026, Q4 2026 and Q1 2027 (FY2026 to $9.34 from $9.36; FY2027 to $10.08 from $10.10; Q1/Q4 nudges). While the cuts are small, downward revisions can pressure the stock in the short term because they lower near‑term earnings expectations despite the strong reported results. MarketBeat: ACGL profile / Zacks note

About Arch Capital Group

Arch Capital Group Ltd. (NASDAQ: ACGL) is a Bermuda-based insurance and reinsurance holding company that underwrites a broad range of property and casualty, mortgage, and specialty risk products. The company operates through a group of underwriting subsidiaries and platforms to provide insurance, reinsurance and related risk solutions tailored to commercial, institutional and individual clients.

Arch’s product mix includes treaty and facultative reinsurance, primary casualty and property insurance, mortgage insurance and other specialty lines.