BigBear.ai (NYSE:BBAI) Price Target Cut to $6.00 by Analysts at HC Wainwright

BigBear.ai (NYSE:BBAI) had its target price cut by HC Wainwright from $8.00 to $6.00 in a research note released on Tuesday morning,Benzinga reports. They currently have a buy rating on the stock.

Other analysts have also recently issued reports about the company. Cantor Fitzgerald cut BigBear.ai from an “overweight” rating to a “neutral” rating and dropped their price objective for the stock from $7.00 to $6.00 in a report on Wednesday, January 7th. Wall Street Zen lowered BigBear.ai from a “hold” rating to a “sell” rating in a research report on Saturday, January 10th. Finally, Weiss Ratings reiterated a “sell (d-)” rating on shares of BigBear.ai in a research report on Wednesday, January 21st. One investment analyst has rated the stock with a Buy rating, two have assigned a Hold rating and one has given a Sell rating to the company. Based on data from MarketBeat, BigBear.ai presently has an average rating of “Hold” and a consensus price target of $5.00.

BigBear.ai Price Performance

NYSE:BBAI opened at $3.81 on Tuesday. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18, a quick ratio of 3.13 and a current ratio of 3.13. The company has a 50-day moving average of $5.16 and a 200-day moving average of $5.89. BigBear.ai has a 52 week low of $2.36 and a 52 week high of $9.39. The company has a market capitalization of $1.66 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of -3.81 and a beta of 3.49.

BigBear.ai (NYSE:BBAI) last posted its earnings results on Monday, March 2nd. The company reported ($0.01) earnings per share for the quarter, beating analysts’ consensus estimates of ($0.05) by $0.04. BigBear.ai had a negative net margin of 230.21% and a negative return on equity of 21.44%. The business had revenue of $27.30 million for the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $33.31 million. During the same quarter in the previous year, the firm posted ($0.43) earnings per share. The firm’s revenue for the quarter was down 37.7% on a year-over-year basis. As a group, equities research analysts anticipate that BigBear.ai will post -0.28 earnings per share for the current fiscal year.

Insider Buying and Selling at BigBear.ai

In other news, CFO Sean Raymond Ricker sold 5,000 shares of the company’s stock in a transaction dated Thursday, December 4th. The stock was sold at an average price of $7.06, for a total transaction of $35,300.00. Following the completion of the transaction, the chief financial officer directly owned 488,716 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $3,450,334.96. This represents a 1.01% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is available at this hyperlink. 0.54% of the stock is owned by corporate insiders.

Hedge Funds Weigh In On BigBear.ai

Large investors have recently bought and sold shares of the company. Vanguard Group Inc. grew its stake in shares of BigBear.ai by 18.4% during the 4th quarter. Vanguard Group Inc. now owns 32,695,344 shares of the company’s stock worth $176,555,000 after acquiring an additional 5,090,508 shares in the last quarter. UBS Group AG lifted its position in shares of BigBear.ai by 145.7% in the fourth quarter. UBS Group AG now owns 10,386,833 shares of the company’s stock worth $56,089,000 after purchasing an additional 6,158,665 shares in the last quarter. State Street Corp boosted its holdings in BigBear.ai by 33.6% during the fourth quarter. State Street Corp now owns 10,279,145 shares of the company’s stock worth $55,507,000 after purchasing an additional 2,584,278 shares during the last quarter. Geode Capital Management LLC grew its position in BigBear.ai by 35.9% in the fourth quarter. Geode Capital Management LLC now owns 10,247,877 shares of the company’s stock valued at $55,347,000 after purchasing an additional 2,706,195 shares in the last quarter. Finally, Van ECK Associates Corp bought a new position in BigBear.ai in the fourth quarter valued at $46,675,000. Institutional investors and hedge funds own 7.55% of the company’s stock.

BigBear.ai News Roundup

Here are the key news stories impacting BigBear.ai this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Balance-sheet repair — management reported a large reduction in debt and a much stronger liquidity/cash position, which reduces near-term financing risk and supports future investment. BigBear.ai Resets Balance Sheet
• Positive Sentiment: Strategic acquisitions — recent deals (Ask Sage, Cargo Seer) add FedRAMP access and recurring revenue streams tied to federal and border security use cases, improving the company’s addressable market and revenue quality. MarketBeat coverage
• Neutral Sentiment: Q4 EPS beat but revenue miss — BigBear.ai reported a smaller-than-expected loss per share, modestly beating EPS estimates, but revenue of $27.3M missed consensus. That EPS beat tempers concern but the revenue miss is the larger signal for growth. Zacks: Q4 results
• Neutral Sentiment: Longer-term targets and presentation — management outlined a 17% revenue growth target and an investor presentation highlighting strategic focus areas; useful for medium-term thesis but not immediately accretive. Seeking Alpha: Growth target
• Negative Sentiment: Revenue guidance came in light — FY2026 revenue guidance of $135.0M–$165.0M was below the roughly $167.7M consensus, signaling slower near-term topline recovery and likely driving downside pressure. Business Wire: Q4 results & guidance
• Negative Sentiment: Analyst reactions trimmed — Cantor Fitzgerald cut its price target to $5 (now Neutral) and HC Wainwright reduced its target to $6 (still Buy), signaling tempered upside and contributing to selling pressure. Benzinga: analyst moves
• Negative Sentiment: Revenue decline and program softness — management attributed Q4 revenue weakness to lower volume on certain military programs, highlighting sensitivity to defense customer activity and near-term revenue volatility. Seeking Alpha: revenue miss

About BigBear.ai

BigBear.ai is a provider of artificial intelligence (AI) and data analytics solutions designed to deliver actionable insights for public sector and commercial clients. Headquartered in Columbia, Maryland, the company specializes in advanced analytics, machine learning, predictive modeling and network analysis to support decision-making in complex, data-rich environments. Its clientele spans defense and intelligence agencies, civil government organizations and enterprise businesses seeking to enhance mission outcomes and operational efficiency.

The company’s flagship offerings include an AI-driven analytics platform that integrates data engineering, algorithm development and visualization tools.