Q4 EPS Estimates for Dollar Tree Decreased by Analyst

Dollar Tree, Inc. (NASDAQ:DLTR) – Analysts at Telsey Advisory Group decreased their Q4 2026 earnings estimates for Dollar Tree in a research note issued on Thursday, October 16th. Telsey Advisory Group analyst J. Feldman now anticipates that the company will post earnings per share of $2.48 for the quarter, down from their prior forecast of $2.56. Telsey Advisory Group has a “Outperform” rating and a $130.00 price objective on the stock. The consensus estimate for Dollar Tree’s current full-year earnings is $5.39 per share. Telsey Advisory Group also issued estimates for Dollar Tree’s Q1 2027 earnings at $1.56 EPS, Q2 2027 earnings at $0.91 EPS, Q3 2027 earnings at $1.31 EPS and FY2028 earnings at $7.44 EPS.

Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR) last released its quarterly earnings data on Wednesday, September 3rd. The company reported $0.77 earnings per share for the quarter, topping the consensus estimate of $0.38 by $0.39. Dollar Tree had a negative net margin of 13.46% and a positive return on equity of 23.52%. The company had revenue of $4.57 billion for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $4.46 billion. During the same period in the previous year, the business earned $0.67 EPS. Dollar Tree’s revenue for the quarter was up 12.3% compared to the same quarter last year. Dollar Tree has set its FY 2025 guidance at 5.320-5.720 EPS.

Other equities research analysts have also recently issued research reports about the company. JPMorgan Chase & Co. increased their price target on Dollar Tree from $138.00 to $140.00 and gave the company an “overweight” rating in a research note on Thursday, September 4th. Weiss Ratings reiterated a “sell (d-)” rating on shares of Dollar Tree in a report on Wednesday, October 8th. New Street Research set a $103.00 price objective on shares of Dollar Tree in a research report on Thursday. BNP Paribas cut shares of Dollar Tree from a “strong-buy” rating to a “hold” rating in a research note on Thursday, September 4th. Finally, Jefferies Financial Group reiterated an “underperform” rating and issued a $70.00 price target (down previously from $110.00) on shares of Dollar Tree in a research note on Tuesday, October 7th. Eight investment analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, ten have issued a Hold rating and five have given a Sell rating to the company. According to data from MarketBeat.com, the company currently has a consensus rating of “Hold” and a consensus price target of $109.00.

Dollar Tree Price Performance

NASDAQ:DLTR opened at $96.44 on Friday. Dollar Tree has a 12-month low of $60.49 and a 12-month high of $118.06. The firm has a market capitalization of $19.67 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of -7.11, a P/E/G ratio of 1.76 and a beta of 0.85. The stock’s 50 day moving average price is $100.77 and its two-hundred day moving average price is $96.17. The company has a quick ratio of 0.27, a current ratio of 1.04 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.67.

Dollar Tree announced that its Board of Directors has authorized a share buyback program on Wednesday, July 9th that allows the company to buyback $2.50 billion in shares. This buyback authorization allows the company to purchase up to 11.5% of its stock through open market purchases. Stock buyback programs are generally an indication that the company’s management believes its stock is undervalued.

Insider Activity

In other news, Director Stephanie Stahl sold 1,185 shares of the firm’s stock in a transaction that occurred on Friday, September 5th. The shares were sold at an average price of $100.32, for a total transaction of $118,879.20. Following the transaction, the director directly owned 4,089 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $410,208.48. This trade represents a 22.47% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The sale was disclosed in a document filed with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which can be accessed through this hyperlink. 6.60% of the stock is currently owned by insiders.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

A number of hedge funds have recently modified their holdings of the stock. Price T Rowe Associates Inc. MD increased its stake in Dollar Tree by 69.6% in the first quarter. Price T Rowe Associates Inc. MD now owns 5,848,196 shares of the company’s stock valued at $439,025,000 after acquiring an additional 2,400,586 shares during the last quarter. Alliancebernstein L.P. raised its stake in shares of Dollar Tree by 176.9% during the second quarter. Alliancebernstein L.P. now owns 3,746,222 shares of the company’s stock valued at $371,026,000 after acquiring an additional 2,393,172 shares during the last quarter. Alyeska Investment Group L.P. lifted its holdings in Dollar Tree by 1,055.1% during the 1st quarter. Alyeska Investment Group L.P. now owns 2,322,189 shares of the company’s stock worth $174,327,000 after buying an additional 2,121,149 shares during the period. Norges Bank acquired a new position in shares of Dollar Tree in the second quarter worth approximately $185,784,000. Finally, EdgePoint Investment Group Inc. boosted its stake in shares of Dollar Tree by 21.4% in the 1st quarter. EdgePoint Investment Group Inc. now owns 9,641,507 shares of the company’s stock valued at $723,788,000 after purchasing an additional 1,701,344 shares during the last quarter. Institutional investors own 97.40% of the company’s stock.

About Dollar Tree

Dollar Tree, Inc operates retail discount stores. The company operates in two segments, Dollar Tree and Family Dollar. The Dollar Tree segment offers merchandise at the fixed price of $ 1.25. It provides consumable merchandise, which includes everyday consumables, such as household paper and chemicals, food, candy, health, personal care products, and frozen and refrigerated food; variety merchandise comprising toys, durable housewares, gifts, stationery, party goods, greeting cards, softlines, arts and crafts supplies, and other items; and seasonal goods that include Christmas, Easter, Halloween, and Valentine's Day merchandise.