Roth Capital Predicts Higher Earnings for Assured Guaranty

Assured Guaranty Ltd. (NYSE:AGO) – Equities researchers at Roth Capital raised their FY2025 earnings estimates for shares of Assured Guaranty in a report issued on Tuesday, November 18th. Roth Capital analyst H. Fong now forecasts that the financial services provider will post earnings per share of $8.30 for the year, up from their previous forecast of $7.15. The consensus estimate for Assured Guaranty’s current full-year earnings is $7.30 per share. Roth Capital also issued estimates for Assured Guaranty’s Q4 2025 earnings at $1.54 EPS, Q1 2026 earnings at $1.54 EPS, Q2 2026 earnings at $1.71 EPS and Q4 2026 earnings at $1.83 EPS.

Several other analysts have also recently commented on the company. Wall Street Zen upgraded Assured Guaranty from a “sell” rating to a “hold” rating in a research report on Saturday, November 8th. Keefe, Bruyette & Woods increased their price target on Assured Guaranty from $105.00 to $108.00 and gave the stock an “outperform” rating in a research note on Wednesday. Weiss Ratings restated a “buy (b-)” rating on shares of Assured Guaranty in a research note on Wednesday, October 8th. UBS Group upped their price objective on shares of Assured Guaranty from $92.00 to $94.00 and gave the stock a “neutral” rating in a report on Monday. Finally, Zacks Research upgraded shares of Assured Guaranty from a “strong sell” rating to a “hold” rating in a research report on Tuesday, October 7th. Two research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating and two have issued a Hold rating to the company’s stock. According to MarketBeat, the company has an average rating of “Moderate Buy” and an average target price of $101.00.

Assured Guaranty Stock Performance

AGO opened at $88.19 on Thursday. The company has a current ratio of 0.75, a quick ratio of 0.75 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.30. The business’s 50 day moving average is $83.39 and its 200-day moving average is $83.97. The stock has a market cap of $4.07 billion, a PE ratio of 9.74 and a beta of 0.98. Assured Guaranty has a twelve month low of $74.09 and a twelve month high of $96.50.

Assured Guaranty (NYSE:AGO) last posted its earnings results on Thursday, November 6th. The financial services provider reported $2.57 EPS for the quarter, topping the consensus estimate of $1.54 by $1.03. Assured Guaranty had a net margin of 44.53% and a return on equity of 7.18%. The firm had revenue of $206.00 million during the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $196.76 million. During the same quarter in the prior year, the firm earned $2.42 EPS. Assured Guaranty’s quarterly revenue was down 23.0% on a year-over-year basis.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

Several hedge funds have recently added to or reduced their stakes in AGO. Salomon & Ludwin LLC bought a new position in shares of Assured Guaranty in the third quarter valued at $25,000. Cullen Frost Bankers Inc. acquired a new position in shares of Assured Guaranty in the 2nd quarter worth $30,000. SJS Investment Consulting Inc. raised its position in shares of Assured Guaranty by 3,391.7% during the third quarter. SJS Investment Consulting Inc. now owns 419 shares of the financial services provider’s stock worth $35,000 after purchasing an additional 407 shares during the period. Quarry LP acquired a new stake in shares of Assured Guaranty during the third quarter worth $44,000. Finally, Bayforest Capital Ltd purchased a new stake in shares of Assured Guaranty during the third quarter valued at $47,000. Institutional investors and hedge funds own 92.22% of the company’s stock.

Insider Activity

In other news, major shareholder Guaranty Ltd Assured sold 6,258 shares of the firm’s stock in a transaction dated Wednesday, October 15th. The shares were sold at an average price of $16.90, for a total transaction of $105,760.20. Following the completion of the transaction, the insider owned 5,282,994 shares in the company, valued at approximately $89,282,598.60. This trade represents a 0.12% decrease in their position. The transaction was disclosed in a document filed with the SEC, which is accessible through this link. Also, CEO Dominic Frederico sold 25,000 shares of Assured Guaranty stock in a transaction that occurred on Tuesday, September 23rd. The stock was sold at an average price of $83.83, for a total transaction of $2,095,750.00. Following the completion of the transaction, the chief executive officer directly owned 1,287,803 shares in the company, valued at $107,956,525.49. This represents a 1.90% decrease in their position. The SEC filing for this sale provides additional information. Insiders have sold 41,929 shares of company stock valued at $2,386,674 in the last ninety days. Company insiders own 5.10% of the company’s stock.

Assured Guaranty Dividend Announcement

The company also recently disclosed a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Wednesday, December 3rd. Stockholders of record on Wednesday, November 19th will be issued a $0.34 dividend. The ex-dividend date is Wednesday, November 19th. This represents a $1.36 annualized dividend and a dividend yield of 1.5%. Assured Guaranty’s dividend payout ratio is 16.87%.

Assured Guaranty Company Profile

Assured Guaranty Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides credit protection products to public finance, infrastructure, and structured finance markets in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments: Insurance and Asset Management. The company offers financial guaranty insurance that protects holders of debt instruments and other monetary obligations from defaults in scheduled payments.